Please note that the programme is provisional at this stage and is subject to change - download (PDF)
Thursday, 17 July | |
6.00-6.15pm | Registration in the Saïd Business School entrance hall |
6.15pm-7.20pm | Keynote lecture Sir Crispin Tickell, ‘Humans: Past, Present and Future’ |
7.20pm | Book launch and wine reception: Global Catastrophic Risks, eds. Nick Bostrom and Milan Cirkovic (OUP), Saïd Business School entrance hall |
Friday, 18 July | |
09.30-10am | Coffee and welcome |
10.00am | Introductory words by Nick Bostrom |
Theme: Contexts | |
10.30am | Jonathan Wiener, ‘The Tragedy of the Uncommons’ |
11.20 am | Pause |
11.25am | Eliezer Yudkowsky, ‘Rationally Considering the End of the World’ |
12.15pm | Pause |
12.20pm | Michelangelo Mangano, 'Expected and unexpected in the exploration of the fundamental laws of nature' |
1.10pm | Lunch |
2.00pm | James Hughes, ‘Avoiding Millennialist Cognitive Biases’ |
2.50pm | Pause |
2.55pm | Peter Taylor, ‘Insurance and Catastrophes’ |
3.45pm | Coffee |
4.05pm | Christopher Wills, ‘Disasters, Ecological Diversity, and the Future of Humanity’ |
4.55pm | Pause |
5.00pm | Robin Hanson, 'Catastrophe, Social Collapse, and Human Extinction' |
5.50pm | End of day |
Evening Optional Event: |
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7.30pm | Pre-dinner drinks |
8.00pm | Dinner |
Saturday, 19 July | |
09.30-10am | Coffee |
Theme: Nature | |
10.00am | David Morrison, ‘Cosmic Impacts: The Most Extreme Global Catastrophes’ |
10.45am | Pause |
10.50am | Arnon Dar, ‘Cosmic Threats’ |
11.35pm | Pause |
11.40pm | William Napier, ‘Hazards from Comets and Asteroids’ |
12.25pm | Lunch |
1.15pm | Fred Adams, ‘Into the Dark: The Long Term Future of our Dying Universe’ |
2.05pm | Pause |
2.10pm | John Oxford, ‘Social, Scientific and Medical Lessons from the Great Influenza Pandemic of 1918’ |
3.00pm | Pause |
3.05pm | Ali Nouri, ‘Biotechnology and Biosecurity: Preventing Risks While Preserving Benefits’ |
3.55pm | Pause |
Theme: Hostile Acts | |
4.00pm | Joseph Cirincione, ‘The Continuing Threat of Nuclear War’ |
4.55pm | Pause |
5.00pm | William Potter and Gary Ackerman, ‘Catastrophic Nuclear Terrorism: A Preventable Peril’ |
6.05pm | End of day |
Evening Optional Event | |
7.00-8.45pm | Punting and Picnic. Meet at Magdalen Bridge punt station |
Sunday, 20 July | |
09.30am | Steve Rayner, ‘Culture and the Credibility of Catastrophe’ |
10.20am | Pause |
Theme: Unintended Consequences | |
10.25am | Eliezer Yudkowsky, ‘(Artificial) Intelligence: The Wild Card’ |
11.15am | Coffee |
11.35am | Mike Treder and Chris Phoenix, ‘Small Machines, Big Choices: The Looming Impacts of Molecular Manufacturing’ |
12.20pm | Rafaela Hillerbrand, Toby Ord and Anders Sandberg, ‘Probing the Improbable: Methodological Challenges for Risks with Low Probabilities and High Stakes’ |
1.00pm | Lunch |
1.50pm | Dave Frame, ‘Climate Change, Catastrophe and Uncertainty’ |
2.40pm | Milan Cirkovic: closing words |
3.00pm | Close |